Andy Holding’s Ebor Saturday Racing Tips
KIEFER (best price 7-1) has had the look of a horse for whom this race would suit and having had pretty much his season geared around arriving here in peak form, Eve Johnson Houghton’s gelding seems poised for a large effort.
Promising in his first few outings in maidens, the son of Pour Moi has come into his own he didn’t waste any time taking advantage of a opening mark of 75 in Newbury back and upped in trip and once handicapped. Although beaten his effort when runner-up at the Bibury Cup in Salisbury came courtesy of a major speed figure and he shaped nicely last time out despite gentle earth not being ideal. The type who should be able to actually express himself today’s large, galloping circuit, the ground available should match and the likeable gray makes lots of each-way appeal, with some firms offering rather four place terms.
The total amount of prize money in the table compared to last year implies only getting a run in the Ebor was a feat in itself, and that’s shown with a bottom weight. Because of the compact nature of the weights, it seems a pointless exercise mulling within the lbs and ounces and it’s better to stick to the tried and trusted formula of going with something with demonstrated course form — which applies to the majority of races at York. Bearing that in mind, among the key trials for your #1 million-pound event comes courtesy of this Group 3 competition run across the C&D on John Smith’s Cup afternoon a month ago, with many of the primary players that afternoon place to do battle again. Won by Red Galileo, Ed Dunlop’s gelding fended off the likes of Raheen House, Weekender and Kelly’s Dino (won because ) at a wild finish and with time figure going towards the shape of the race being particularly reliable, it would not come as too much of a surprise when one of the quartet had been to succeed back to the scene of that epic experience.
Of those, the safest option, possibly, will be RAHEEN HOUSE (best cost 7-1) as his numbers not only stack up nicely from this competition, but also out of his preceding performance over the exact same C&D a month earlier. Though no game for Gold Mount that afternoon, it still wasn’t a poor feat off the rear of a 231-day fracture and in finding the essential improvement the following day, the child of Sea The Stars was able to run to an even higher level in what was to be quite a strongly-run event. Held off far off the speed, he stayed on best of all to go down in a finish and that functionality further added into the concept that he simply loves the character of the trail. Getting changed from Brian Meehan into William Haggas‘ powerful yard, it appears connections are dead-set on landing this big prize for quite some time and ensuring that no stone is left unturned in the build-up to the occasion, he should arrive about the Knavesmire in fever-pitch. Only from the money double in an 17-race profession, the five-year-old also has useful course stats which examine 123 and also form on many different conditions and stamina and class in equal measures, it’s difficult to find him not having any sort of state in the final outcome.
Pretty Pollyanna brings real Group 1 kind to the table and she is likely to be a hot order beneath the allowances, but at the identical time, she is quite got out of the habit of winning and in her skimpy morning price, she has handed over in favour of great EFFORT (best cost 22-1) at a great deal more attractive opportunities. Until a surprising change of heart resulted over today ’s C&D last time out campaigned over 7f/1m, Ismail Mohamed’s gelding had lost his way. Always travelling easily off the rear of powerful fractions, the son of Shamardal uncovered smart turn of foot to easily brush a useful field and although today’s competition is a far cry from the shallower waters he encountered that day, he’s only the kind who might excel at a bigger and better surroundings.
Considering DANGEROUS ENDS’s (best cost 10-1) run-style, he was always unlikely to be satisfied by the sharp mile at Lingfield last time out, but back over a C&D that has served him well in the past, Brett Johnson’s inmate speeds a more viable proposition.
Well behind at halfway at the Surrey venue, the five-year-old had little likelihood but at least he left a courageous fist of the situation to run on powerful to finish a never-nearer third and also at least signals he stays in decent shape. A victory followed with a creditable runner-up spot under a penalty were his 2 offerings when hurrying together with the William carver from the plate to facilitate the pain of pounds and over today’s C&D, the Monsieur Bond gelding must easily outrun his dawn chances.
RISE HALL (best price 8-1) hasn’t got a lot of miles on the clock and with a chance he still may be advancing, Martyn Meade’s gelding can go near supplying his canny handler his second winner of the assembly. Third at a Exotic handicap over the C&D of today when upped last year, the four-year-old hasn’t done much wrong since along with his victory at Newmarket last time outside capped off a series of attempts in handicaps that were acceptable. Despite racing with the choke out throughout the first part of the competition a month before, the son of Frankel still had enough in reserve to view off a little, but select field, and getting thrived on the 2 times he has encountered a big field and a strong rate, Rise Hall must turn out to be in his element under perfect conditions.
Whatever happens today, Richard Hannon has already enjoyed a great week, but there’s a better than external chance that WEDDING DATE (best price 16-1) can provide that the East Everleigh maestro with the perfect end to this assembly.
At her best when asked to finish over five-furlongs, it is no surprise that her two performances in recent times have come within an extra furlong, so it best to concentrate on the advantages. Seen to great effect when the pace collapsed over today’s C&D back in May, the girl of Dandy Man once more did some really great late job on her latest trip at Ascot, coming from virtually continue to sneak against a few classy and well-established older sprint handicappers. Back amongst her age group this afternoon, expect her to be clubbed prior to coming with her late rattle and she will need some luck in conducting to pull such a feat, her morning cost that is generous suggest she worth the danger.
Little Nugget sets the standard due to her handsome effort in a decent novice contest in the Galway Festival, however she might have more on her plate in relation to the marketplace signals upward against the advancing CAER (NAP) (best cost 5-2).
A cosy winner of a blackout in Roscommon back in July, Winged Love’s daughter was in the practice of running a large race when capsizing four however she didn’t need to wait too long for reparation. Dusting down herself, she clearly suffered no ill effects by bolting up in Sligo last time out and the fact that she made the Bronagh’s Belle seem quite pedestrian it testimony to her qualities. Likely to be ridden fairly handily — that isn’t a bad strategy about that trail — Noel Meade’s charge can offer the favored all of the trouble she can deal with.
The trick to the outcome of this race could lie inside the heat run at Doncaster last week and of those that were involved in that contest on Town Moor, VERDIGRIS (best price 20-1) makes the maximum allure at the dawn chances. Held up towards the rear in the early stages, Ruth Carr’s filly was only starting to creep into the competition when she met all sorts of trouble in conducting and even though it’s always tricky to come to an exact decision where she may have finished, there is every opportunity she’d have made the frame at least given how she had been moving at the time. Prior to this effort, the daughter of Intense Focus had conducted against that backed up several solid performances for example a victory back in May and the helpful Warning Fire over the course of today. Flexible back the four-year-old, to a favourable face gets much more in her favor than her quotations indicate and regards trip.
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